Physics Maths Engineering

Adapting power calculations to include a superiority margin: what are the implications?


  Peer Reviewed

Abstract

Key Questions

What is a superiority margin in clinical trials?

A superiority margin is a clinically significant threshold set to ensure that observed treatment effects are not only statistically significant but also meaningfully beneficial for patients.

How does power calculation work in clinical trials?

Power calculations estimate the number of participants required to detect a treatment effect reliably. They consider effect size, variability, and set statistical thresholds, using formulas to ensure adequate study power.

What is the difference between superiority and non-inferiority trials?

Superiority trials aim to show that one treatment is more effective than another, while non-inferiority trials seek to demonstrate that a new treatment is not worse than an existing one by more than an acceptable margin.

What is the role of post hoc power analysis?

Post hoc power analysis, conducted after a study is completed, assesses the strength of the results. However, it may not offer significant new insights beyond the initial study findings.

How can I set a clinically significant difference in a study?

To set a clinically significant difference, researchers determine a minimal clinically important difference (MCID), ensuring that the effect size is meaningful for patient outcomes, not just statistically significant.

How is sample size calculated for clinical trials with a specific effect size?

The sample size is influenced by the expected effect size, the required significance level, and variability. Formulas incorporate these values to ensure the study is adequately powered to detect meaningful differences.

What are the limitations of traditional power calculations?

Traditional power calculations can sometimes yield results that, while statistically significant, may not translate into meaningful clinical benefits, emphasizing the importance of setting clinically relevant thresholds.


Key Takeaways

Superiority Margins in Clinical Trials

Implementing a superiority margin in clinical trials enables researchers to assess clinical relevance by setting a minimum threshold for clinically significant outcomes, rather than just any statistical difference.

Seven Study Outcome Positions

Study results can be interpreted in one of seven logical positions by applying superiority, non-inferiority, equivalence, and other hypotheses simultaneously, helping determine clinical impact more clearly.

Audit of Power Calculations

A review of 30 recent RCTs revealed limited use of minimally clinically acceptable differences in power calculations, with varied approaches and often insufficient clarity on clinical relevance criteria.

Clinical Significance vs. Statistical Significance

Establishing clinical significance within power calculations could streamline research, ensuring study results are clinically meaningful rather than merely statistically significant.

Potential for Post-hoc Superiority Analysis

Post-hoc power analysis for clinical significance can provide actionable insights for future studies, particularly in cases where statistical significance alone does not clarify clinical relevance.


Abstract

This paper examines the application of super-superiority margins in study power calculations. Unlike traditional power calculations, which primarily aim to reject the null hypothesis by any margin, a super-superiority margin establishes a clinically significant threshold. Despite potential benefits, this approach, akin to a non-inferiority calculation but in an opposing direction, is rarely used. Implementing a super-superiority margin separates the notion of the likely difference between two groups (the effect size) from the minimum clinically significant difference, without which inconsistent positions could be held. However, these are often used interchangeably. In an audit of 30 recent randomized controlled trial power calculations, four studies utilized the minimal acceptable difference, and nine utilized the expected difference. In the other studies, this was unclarified.
In the post hoc scenario, this approach can shed light on the value of undertaking further studies, which is not apparent from the standard power calculation. The acceptance and rejection of the alternate hypothesis for super-superiority, non-inferiority, equivalence, and standard superiority studies have been compared. When a fixed minimal acceptable difference is applied, a study result will be in one of seven logical positions with regards to the simultaneous application of these hypotheses.
The trend for increased trial size and the mirror approach of non-inferiority studies implies that newer interventions may be becoming less effective. Powering for superiority could counter this and ensure that a pre-trial evaluation of clinical significance has taken place, which is necessary to confirm that interventions are beneficial.