Physics Maths Engineering
Daniel Martín Pérez,
Emily Gleeson,
Panu Maalampi,
Laura Rontu
Peer Reviewed
Near real-time aerosol fields from the Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Services (CAMS), operated by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), are configured for use in the HARMONIE-AROME Numerical Weather Prediction model. Aerosol mass mixing ratios from CAMS are introduced in the model through the first guess and lateral boundary conditions and are advected by the model dynamics. The cloud droplet number concentration is obtained from the aerosol fields and used by the microphysics and radiation schemes in the model. The results show an improvement in radiation, especially during desert dust events (differences of nearly 100 W/m2 are obtained). There is also a change in precipitation patterns, with an increase in precipitation, mainly during heavy precipitation events. A reduction in spurious fog is also found. In addition, the use of the CAMS near real-time aerosols results in an improvement in global shortwave radiation forecasts when the clouds are thick due to an improved estimation of the cloud droplet number concentration.
The study investigates the use of near real-time aerosol data from Copernicus Atmospheric Monitoring Services (CAMS) in the HARMONIE-AROME NWP model, examining its impact on radiation, precipitation patterns, and cloud droplet number concentration.
CAMS aerosol mass mixing ratios are introduced into the model's first guess and lateral boundary conditions, and are advected by the model dynamics, influencing cloud microphysics and radiative transfer processes.
The study found improvements in radiation, especially during desert dust events, altered precipitation patterns, reduced spurious fog, and enhanced shortwave radiation forecasts due to better cloud droplet number concentration estimation.
The integration of CAMS aerosol data led to improvements in fog forecasting by reducing spurious fog predictions in the HARMONIE-AROME model.
The study introduces a practical approach to using real-time aerosol data in weather forecasting models, highlighting its effect on cloud-precipitation microphysics, radiation, and fog prediction, thereby enhancing the accuracy of forecasts.
Show by month | Manuscript | Video Summary |
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2025 April | 5 | 5 |
2025 March | 71 | 71 |
2025 February | 43 | 43 |
2025 January | 45 | 45 |
2024 December | 58 | 58 |
2024 November | 49 | 49 |
2024 October | 29 | 29 |
Total | 300 | 300 |
Show by month | Manuscript | Video Summary |
---|---|---|
2025 April | 5 | 5 |
2025 March | 71 | 71 |
2025 February | 43 | 43 |
2025 January | 45 | 45 |
2024 December | 58 | 58 |
2024 November | 49 | 49 |
2024 October | 29 | 29 |
Total | 300 | 300 |